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Влад Орлов пишет:
Are you kidding? |
I'm not sure I understand what you refer to...
Работает проверка заявок DV-2024, принятых осенью 2022 года
Интервью победителей DV-2024 — с 01.10.2023 до 30.09.2024
Регистрация заявок DV-2025 — с 4 октября по 7 ноября 2023 года
Проверка результатов DV-2025 — с 4 мая 2024 года
Октябрь 2023: 4500
Сентябрь 2023: 32000
Август 2023: 32000
Здравствуйте! Хотим с мужем поучаствовать в лотерее. Но у нас есть сомнение, не влияет ли запрос на грин кард на получение туристической или рабочей визы в штаты? Просто, летом...
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Минск, Беларусь
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полная контактная информация
28.03.2018 22:53:08
I don't have any predictions right now. Let's wait till we know a number of interviews in May. We will have data for 3 months of 2NLs. Also VB for June will be interesting as we're finally approaching the density drop that goes all the way up to EU36k We can speculate then. |
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22.03.2018 16:42:54
It doesn't work like that. Couple of information about the scraper and charts: 1. Charts are not connected directly to the database we use for scraping, they operate on data dumps instead. That's in order to prevent the situation where people looking at the graphs would strain the server and disrupt people scraping actual captchas. 2. You need to understand that the process (getting data from CEAC via solving CAPTCHAs) has some inherent flaws. One of the most important is the fact that scraping takes time... If I release data, let's say today (03/22/18), it's the state of scraper database and it does not necessarily correspond to the state of CEAC database that day. In other words, it takes CEAC around 1 minute to change status of 1500 cases from 'At NVC' to 'In Transit', but it takes us over 3-4 days to get that information out. To make matter worse when we're scraping 'At NVC' cases, we're not checking other cases (like if 'Ready' turned to 'Issued'/'Refused'). The latter can cause an apparent "jumps" if you're trying to derive a number of Issued cases per day/week etc, which somebody did on this forum few posts ago. 3. Before any "bump" in transit/ready can happen we actually need to scrape 'At NVC' cases again. We'll do that as soon as people start reporting they're receiving 2nd batch of 2NLs. I haven't seen a single report yet, neither in comments on Simon's blog, nor on various forums I track. I don't expect it to happen tomorrow.
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21.03.2018 20:30:52
You are looking at all cases processed by an embassy, that means *ALL* regions. That single case in 20-21k range is from Africa. Please read carefully two sentences that are just above that plot... |
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20.03.2018 19:50:25
We will. Current number of 2NLs is almost exactly a half of what we expected. There's going to be another round of invitations later this month and those are still going to be invitations for May. (BTW the same thing happened a month ago). Many people with cases in range April cutoff < x < May cutoff reported that they still waiting for 2NL. @Olya Len looks like you are one of them. I'd wait a week or two before contacting KCC. There's still plenty of time till May... |
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19.03.2018 16:30:55
Whoops, I uploaded the file but I forgot to add the link to the page. It's fixed now. https://dvcharts.xarthisius.xyz/FY2018...-03-18.csv |
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19.03.2018 16:22:39
It's already updated. We finished scanning 'At NVC' cases yesterday. Last 2000 captchas were Ready/InTransit from previous periods. It seems that CEAC sends 2NLs in 2 (at least) batches, cause right now it's almost exactly half the number of cases we expected to see.... They did a similar thing month ago. There's a list of cases that received invitation at the bottom of the page (May_2NLs.csv). BTW, if there's a person reading this forum, who expects to get an invitation for May and haven't yet received anything (and your case is 'At NVC' in CEAC db), please let me know. |
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